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"The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future." |
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Daniel Kahneman Psychologist Hebrew University of Jerusalem, PhD Psychology Hebrew University of Jerusalem, MA Psychology Hebrew University of Jerusalem, BS Psychology Noise Thinking, Fast and Slow Heuristics and Biases Choices, Values, and Frames Well-Being Judgment Under Uncertainty Attention and Effort Wikipedia
Also see: Trend Following Masters II, Michael Covel The Undoing Project, Michael Lewis Daniel Kahneman interview, #1 |
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